Canada Election Results 2025 – In Charts and Key Insights
The Canada election results 2025 have delivered a dramatic shift in the nation’s political landscape. Mark Carney’s Liberal Party is projected to win the most seats in the House of Commons, allowing him to remain as Prime Minister. However, the Liberals fell just short of securing the 172 seats required for a majority government.
Carney, who only took over as Prime Minister in March after Justin Trudeau’s resignation, now faces the challenge of forming a stable minority government.
Meanwhile, Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre and New Democratic Party (NDP) leader Jagmeet Singh are both projected to have lost their own parliamentary seats—an extraordinary result that underscores the shifting political mood across Canada.
🗳️ Seat Count Summary – Canada Election Results 2025
Both the Liberals and Conservatives saw gains in their national vote shares compared to the last federal election, drawing voters away from smaller parties like the NDP and the Greens. However, only the Liberals have gained enough seats to form government—even without a clear majority.
Leaders Who Lost Their Seats
The 2025 election results shocked many political observers as two major party leaders lost their ridings:
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Pierre Poilievre (Conservative Party) lost his seat in Carleton, Ontario. Despite once leading the polls by more than 20 points earlier this year, Poilievre’s momentum collapsed after Liberal leadership changes and new tariffs introduced by U.S. President Donald Trump.
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Jagmeet Singh (NDP) also failed to retain his seat, coming third behind Liberal and Conservative candidates.
Poilievre faced an unusually large number of opponents—90 candidates, mostly independents pushing for electoral reform.
Canada’s First-Past-the-Post Electoral System
Canada uses a first-past-the-post system, where the candidate with the most votes in each riding (electoral district) wins the seat.
This often results in large discrepancies between popular vote share and parliamentary representation. For example:
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The NDP received just over 6% of the total national vote but secured only 2% of seats.
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The Bloc Québécois, running only in Quebec, had a similar vote share and slightly better seat results (23 seats).
Together, the Liberals and Conservatives accounted for over 80% of the national vote and are projected to hold around 90% of all seats.
Regional Breakdown: How Canada Voted in 2025
Ontario & Quebec: Key to Liberal Success
Ontario and Quebec—home to nearly 200 ridings—were critical to the Liberals’ strong showing.
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In Ontario, especially the “905” region surrounding Toronto, Liberals regained ground they had lost in a recent by-election and held most urban ridings.
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In Quebec, the Bloc Québécois is projected to have lost 12 of its 35 defended seats, mostly to the Liberals. A few were narrowly contested by the Conservatives.
Notable Flip: Abitibi-Baie-James-Nunavik-Eeyou, one of Canada’s largest ridings by land area, flipped from the Bloc to the Liberals
Alberta: Conservative Stronghold
The Conservatives dominated in Alberta, as expected. However, their performance outside traditional strongholds was weaker, contributing to their overall loss of seats.
British Columbia: Closely Contested
In British Columbia, the Liberals and Conservatives are neck-and-neck, while the NDP saw sharp declines, including the loss of Hamilton Centre, a seat they had held for over 20 years.
📊 Voter Turnout & Advance Voting Records
Voter participation was strong in this election:
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Two-thirds of registered voters cast ballots—higher than the 2021 federal election.
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A record 7 million Canadians voted in advance polls, according to preliminary numbers from Elections Canada.
This high early turnout may have helped the Liberals, who were surging in popularity after Carney’s recent rise to power.
🔍 What Led to the Shift in Momentum?
At the beginning of 2025, the Conservatives were comfortably ahead in national polling—by more than 20 points.
However, several key events changed the landscape:
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Justin Trudeau’s resignation in March and the appointment of Mark Carney revitalized Liberal support.
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U.S. President Trump’s tariffs hurt Conservative messaging around trade and the economy.
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Voter fatigue and discontent with partisan extremes may have pushed swing voters back toward the center-left Liberals.
📈 The Bigger Picture
The Canada election results 2025 reveal a political realignment in the country:
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Mainstream parties (Liberals and Conservatives) strengthened, while smaller parties lost ground.
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Leadership losses for both the NDP and Conservatives suggest that parties may need to rethink their platforms and direction ahead of the next election.
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Regional dynamics—particularly in Quebec and suburban Ontario—remain critical in shaping national outcomes.
As Mark Carney prepares to govern with a minority, cooperation with other parties, especially on key legislation, will be essential.